Go to geography or historico-geographic patterns as I suggest we start with in the Magnum Opus:
Trigger states: all southern except South Dakota.
About to trigger states: most former Confederate except the Mormon West and North Dakota.
Note the coastal southern states are holding for now.
IOW, generally we are maintaining the pattern of states that allowed the selling of infants on the auction block.
BTW, could the threat of incarceration directed toward women who violate draconian anti-abortion laws have anything to do with the fact that Black women, more likely than White to lack contraception, were credited with Democratic victories? Is this Mass Incarceration 2.0?